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Modeling Methodology and Assumptions in HIPE-Trend Based Model
This technical paper summarizes the methodology used by EPDC to project key education indicators over time. The EPDC projection model estimates pupil volume based on several key pieces of input information, including the gross intake rate (GIR), and the repetition, dropout, and transition rates. Available historical values on these key indicators are used to estimate trends across time, which are then extrapolated for the period of the projections, following the methods described in the paper.
This methodology is used in the construction of EPDC's profile series Education Trends 2000-2025.