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EPDC Research

Forecasting Human Capital: Using Demographic Multi-State Methods by Age, Sex, and Education

Type: Research
Author(s): Lutz, Goujon, Wils
Year of Publishing: 2005
Keywords: Human capital, educational investments, forecasting, demographics, Guinea, Nicaragua, Zambia
This working paper presents demographic, multi-state population projections as a tool to demonstrate the long-term effects of human capital on near-term investments in education. This paper demonstrates the feasibility of the method through three education projections for Guinea, Nicaragua, and Zambia. Comment

Educating the World's Children: Patterns of Growth and Inequality

Type: Research
Author(s): Wils, Carrol, Barrow
Year of Publishing: 2005
Keywords: Education growth, inequality, schooling, universal primary education, Nepal, Sierra Leone, Bangladesh, Uganda
This report analyzes long-term historical trends of primary and secondary school entry, presents projections of education growth to 2025 for 70 countries, and provides alternative estimates for when these countries will reach universal primary education. It examines sub-national inequality of schooling and the impact of inequality on education growth. Comment

Reaching All: Patterns of Inequality in Mozambique

Type: Research
Author(s): Wils
Year of Publishing: 2004
Keywords: Educational inequality, primary school entry, sub-national
This working paper looks at sub-national trends of primary school entry in Mozambique, finding that all provinces show consistent and similar growth trends, but each region is at a different phase in these trends. The most urban province, Maputo City, is farthest ahead, while the remote Northern provinces, Niassa and Cabo Delgado, lag furthest behind. Comment

Teachers Matter: Teachers Supply as a Constraint on the Global Education Transition

Type: Research
Author(s): Wils, OConnor
Year of Publishing: 2004
Keywords: Education expansion, teacher supply, constraints
This working paper suggests that in some countries human capital, in the form of adults with secondary education and trained teachers, is one of the main constraints on education expansion - possibly stronger than financial limitations. Comment