EPDC's new projections methodology working paper outlines the baseline indicators, assumptions and methods used to estimate trends projections up to 2025. EPDC's High-level Interactive Projection for Education (HIPE) model uses historical data on pupil cohorts to forecast enrollment and schooling efficiency trends.
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Demographics
Is universal education within reach? Results from EPDC education projections
Type: Research
Year of Publishing: 2013
Keywords: policy brief, education projections, Education Trends 2000-2025
Modeling Methodology and Assumptions in HIPE-Trend Based Model
Year of Publishing: 2013
Keywords: projections, methodology, education trends 2000-2025, HIPE
This technical paper summarizes the methodology used by EPDC to project key education indicators over time. The EPDC projection model estimates pupil volume based on several key pieces of input information, including the gross intake rate (GIR), and the repetition, dropout, and transition rates. Available historical values on these key indicators are used to estimate trends across time, which are then extrapolated for the period of the projections, following the methods described in the paper.
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